ARIK PARNASS

Hockey Data Analyst

Published Work

Please note that this is a selection of published work, rather than a complete portfolio. It is listed in reverse chronological order.

Today’s Slapshot – February 2016 – Present

Who Should Play Point on the Capitals’ First Power Play?

Can Advanced Stats Make Shea Weber a Better Player?

Solving the Ducks’ Defensive Logjam

NHL.com – February 2015

SUNDAY LONG READ: Analytics, not statistics, driving NHL evolution

The Cauldron – November 2015

The Changing Beat – On the Changing Sports Media Landscape

Hockey Graphs – September 2015-Present

How Can We Quantify Power Play Performance in Formation?

ZEFR Rate: A New and Better Way to Evaluate Power Plays

Can We Accurately Predict Which PK Units Will Score Shorthanded?

How Best to Predict Power Play Success (and see more Special Teams work here)

Has the NHL’s new faceoff rule increased goal scoring?

A Look into Alex Ovechkin’s Elite Power Play Abilities

Exceeding Pythagorean Expectations: Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5

Hockey Prospectus – October 2014-Present

Playoff Series Score Effects and the Power of Loss Aversion

How to Best Predict Second Half Power Play Success

Controlled Situation Corsi: Has Tyler Dellow Improved the Edmonton Oilers?

Why Splitting Back-to-Backs Between Goalies May Not Always Be The Right Call

Luongo, Goaltenders and Shot Blocking

AP Hockey – September 2014-Present

The Deployment Dilemma: How Fourth Lines Can Maximize Team Output

Controlled Situation Corsi: Patrice Bergeron, David Krejci and the Set Play

Controlled Situation Corsi: Shawn Thornton and the Boston Bruins

SB Nation – January 2013-Present

On the Gambler’s Fallacy and Hockey’s Probabilistic Nature

Why are teams that score the first goal winning so frequently?

NHL Playoff Predictions 2014: The Western Conference

NHL Playoff Predictions 2014: The Eastern Conference

Winter Olympics Hockey 2014 – The real reason P.K. Subban should be playing

Breaking Down Film – Fourth Line Fiasco

Winter Olympics Hockey 2014 – Selecting Team Canada for Sochi: The Defense & Goaltending

Winter Olympics Hockey 2014 – Selecting Team Canada for Sochi: The Forwards

Inside the making of Team Canada – Quotes, reactions, and projections

Is Douglas Murray the worst defenseman in the NHL?

Breaking Down Film – Defending the 2-on-1

Breaking Down Film – Defensive coverage and the empty net offense

Breaking Down Film – The Canadiens’ power play and the argument for the 1-3-1

Breaking Down Film – The Canadiens’ power play and the argument for the 1-3-1

Breaking Down Film – The Canadiens’ power play and the argument for the 1-3-1

Breaking Down Film – Game 1: Canadiens vs. Leafs

#HabsTwitterDraft Hub

2013 Habs Top 25 Under 25 – #2 Alex Galchenyuk

2013 Habs Top 25 Under 25 – #13 Artturi Lehkonen

2013 Habs Top 25 Under 25 – #24 Mac Bennett

Taylor Cammarata, the Moneyball pick of the 2013 NHL draft

In defense of David Desharnais and his contract

Debriefing the Canadiens’ 2013 Draft

The Mock Draft 2013 – Second Round Picks

The Mock Draft 2013 – First Round Picks

NHL Draft 2013 – Breaking down the goalie class

Canadiens 2013 Draft Targets – Kerby Rychel

Canadiens 2013 Draft Targets – Jordan Subban

Canadiens 2013 Draft Targets – Emile Poirier

Canadiens 2013 Draft Targets – Valentin Zykov

Canadiens 2013 Draft Targets – Samuel Morin

Canadiens 2013 Draft Targets – Anthony Mantha

Canadiens 2013 Draft Targets – Josh Morrissey

The Canadiens at the 2013 NHL draft – Clues, trends, and what to expect

P.K. Subban wins the Norris – Vindicated at last

The Hurt Locker: Studying the Impact of NHL injuries – 2012 Results

The Hurt Locker: Studying the Impact of NHL injuries – 2011 Results

The Hurt Locker: Studying the Impact of NHL injuries – 2010 Results

Joe Thornton and Justin Williams – Hockey’s two types of heroes

The NHL got another award voting wrong – who should have been GM of the year?

NHL Playoff Predictions 2013 – The other matchups

NHL Trade Deadline – Mike Cammalleri, thoughts, predictions, and reactions

NHL Trade Deadline – Is Robyn Regehr the sixth defenseman the Canadiens need

NHL Trade Deadline – Could the Canadiens pry Marian Gaborik away from New York

NHL Trade Deadline – How would Ladislav Smid look with the Canadiens

NHL Trade Deadline – Should the Canadiens pursue Jaromir Jagr

An introduction to the Montreal Impact for Montreal Canadiens fans

Joe Haggerty has decided the Boston Bruins are winning the Stanley Cup

Canadiens pre-season post-mortems

Canadiens’ Gomez buyout signals new direction

Examining the IIHF’s four-game suspension of Griffin Reinhart

Capitals Voice – October 2013 – Present

Capitals StatTalk – April 9: Discussing Adam Oates’ Faceoff Tendencies

Capitals StatTalk – January 23: In defense of Alex Ovechkin and on the flaws in +/-

Capitals StatTalk – January 16: On the team’s improved play and Mike Green vs. John Carlson on the power play

Capitals StatTalk – December 12: On trending upward in possession, PK regression, and John Carlson’s ideal partner

Capitals StatTalk – November 26: On Adam Oates’ tactical decisions, shot attempts in TO, and Braden Holtby

Capitals StatTalk – November 14: On Alex Ovechkin’s chances to repeat as scoring champ

Capitals StatTalk – November 6: On the penalty kill and the impact of John Erskine

Keeping ‘Em Honest – November 2013-March 2013

On the Florida Panthers and the idea of “deceiving stats”

Suter far from a front-runner in Norris Trophy race

Why Brian Burke is wrong about fighting in hockey

The Hoya – Fall 2011-Fall 2013

Beckham’s influence grew soccer fanbase

Politics sadly viewed as a sport

Capital One comeback proves fans should stay

Despite payroll, Barca keeps fans

Beltran’s success should give slugger redemption

Video games offer MLS publicity coup

Football revolution on horizon

National allegiances now an open market

Roddick made mark off court

Risk of lockout high

Team comes first for Georgetown athletics

Despite playoff popularity, problems loom for NHL

The olympic conundrum

Injuries threaten hockey’s future

Soft cap destroying NBA

Suarez shows sportsmanship still has room to improve

Winning trumps language barrier

Cancer surviver Herzlich the real hero of Super Bowl XLVI

Tim Thomas overshadows White House festivities

A Canadian Perspective – Hockey 101

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